Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 283.745132 320.993521 362.468587 412.287629 470.784865 537.633335 620.292465
2025-05-25 233.595125 283.610598 344.430229 424.721320 529.266274 662.656979 848.812303
2025-06-01 201.469157 255.653959 325.329042 423.159936 559.719713 747.841039 1034.371719
2025-06-08 176.344053 231.469822 305.484672 414.591505 575.683111 812.120163 1200.087762
2025-06-15 159.954438 216.151549 294.484669 415.019001 602.182005 893.327891 1405.770912
2025-06-22 144.038547 199.315361 278.773457 405.489428 610.831160 946.688234 1575.616751
2025-06-29 132.997557 188.130364 269.690733 404.230521 631.359670 1021.484140 1798.609315
2025-07-06 119.909825 172.545038 252.180074 387.102985 622.470810 1043.161983 1925.280732
2025-07-13 115.893047 170.288958 254.891464 403.069396 672.442717 1179.028495 2314.763380
2025-07-20 112.606257 168.774053 258.464137 420.669754 727.693057 1335.083125 2793.033731
2025-07-27 106.825707 162.707892 253.880178 423.181647 754.621840 1439.105042 3182.374704
2025-08-03 99.549734 153.591782 243.298337 413.486060 755.991960 1489.024476 3451.959520
2025-08-10 92.958416 145.292250 233.691556 405.095244 759.973860 1548.198554 3774.050375
2025-08-17 90.200537 143.290844 234.959941 417.697106 810.087327 1724.831874 4497.369279
2025-08-24 85.632584 137.782802 229.404550 416.123904 829.015565 1830.400755 5050.651788
2025-08-31 80.558082 131.013611 220.961936 407.733948 831.253535 1894.239895 5496.149188
2025-09-07 77.084810 126.850023 217.008870 408.152349 853.973697 2017.348162 6205.559455
2025-09-14 72.694684 120.732089 208.867679 398.815572 851.904687 2071.922841 6688.138902
2025-09-21 69.618950 116.825959 204.680576 397.582049 869.676857 2187.834190 7476.596096
2025-09-28 65.016154 109.810962 193.925269 380.798130 845.661236 2174.220766 7712.821869
2025-10-05 64.281778 110.007182 197.446912 396.444323 908.443123 2444.796250 9395.598574
2025-10-12 63.698280 110.440233 201.461435 413.688371 978.774849 2762.090565 11564.528431
2025-10-19 61.681784 107.969424 199.315288 416.149134 1008.485874 2950.643523 13210.197826